538 2024 Presidential Forecast. One of the nation's most accurate forecasters in 2020. Vice president kamala harris leads former president donald trump in the latest forecast from nate silver's election model, known as the silver bulletin, showing.


538 2024 Presidential Forecast

Updated daily, includes state and national polls for harris against trump. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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